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6 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 20.2 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sandviken 4–1 Falkenbergs FF | 1.97–2.01 | 39% · 21% · 40% | Close call, Sandviken won |
| Utsikten 1–0 Ostersunds FK | 2.56–0.95 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Utsikten |
| Vasteras SK FK 2–2 IK brage | 1.63–0.81 | 57% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Vasteras SK FK had 57% |
| Oddevold 2–1 Varbergs BoIS FC | 1.56–1.48 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Oddevold |
| Kalmar FF 2–3 Orgryte IS | 3.65–2.01 | 68% · 14% · 18% | Won against the xG: Orgryte IS |
| Landskrona BoIS 1–0 Orebro SK | 0.70–0.83 | 28% · 36% · 36% | Close call, Landskrona BoIS won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.