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1 of 6 matches with xG: 3 goals from 2.5 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0–3 FC Lugano | 1.14–1.35 | 32% · 27% · 42% | Win in line with xG for FC Lugano |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.