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4 of 6 matches with xG: 7 goals from 12.8 xG (0.55 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys 1–0 Grasshoppers | 2.91–0.95 | 77% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for BSC Young Boys |
| Lausanne 0–1 FC ST. Gallen | 0.96–0.90 | 36% · 32% · 32% | Close call, FC ST. Gallen won |
| FC Lugano 2–3 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2.74–1.55 | 63% · 17% · 20% | Won against the xG: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| FC Zurich 0–0 FC Basel 1893 | 1.41–1.37 | 38% · 25% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.