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4 of 6 matches with xG: 10 goals from 15.3 xG (0.65 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yverdon Sport 0–1 FC Sion | 2.03–1.72 | 46% · 21% · 33% | Close call, FC Sion won |
| FC Basel 1893 0–1 Grasshoppers | 2.45–0.64 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Won against the xG: Grasshoppers |
| BSC Young Boys 2–1 Servette FC | 2.86–1.03 | 75% · 14% · 11% | Win in line with xG for BSC Young Boys |
| FC Lugano 1–4 Lausanne | 1.57–3.04 | 17% · 16% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Lausanne |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.