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5 of 6 matches with xG: 15 goals from 16.1 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys 3–0 Lausanne | 2.53–0.51 | 81% · 13% · 5% | Win in line with xG for BSC Young Boys |
| Yverdon Sport 2–1 FC Winterthur | 1.80–1.13 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Yverdon Sport |
| FC ST. Gallen 3–1 Grasshoppers | 3.26–1.12 | 79% · 12% · 9% | Win in line with xG for FC ST. Gallen |
| FC Luzern 1–1 FC Basel 1893 | 0.83–1.10 | 27% · 31% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Sion 2–1 FC Lugano | 1.99–1.86 | 42% · 21% · 37% | Win in line with xG for FC Sion |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.