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5 of 6 matches with xG: 13 goals from 18.1 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys 5–0 FC Winterthur | 2.68–0.06 | 92% · 8% · 0% | Win in line with xG for BSC Young Boys |
| FC Thun 0–1 FC Lugano | 2.14–0.78 | 69% · 19% · 12% | Won against the xG: FC Lugano |
| FC Sion 2–2 FC Zurich | 2.65–2.15 | 50% · 18% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Grasshoppers 1–1 FC Basel 1893 | 1.09–2.68 | 13% · 16% · 71% | Draw against the xG: FC Basel 1893 had 71% |
| FC ST. Gallen 1–0 Lausanne | 1.99–1.85 | 42% · 21% · 37% | Win in line with xG for FC ST. Gallen |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.