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6 of 6 matches with xG: 30 goals from 20.6 xG (1.45 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lausanne 2–3 FC Zurich | 1.09–1.71 | 24% · 24% · 52% | Win in line with xG for FC Zurich |
| Servette FC 1–1 FC Luzern | 1.64–1.23 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| BSC Young Boys 3–3 FC Basel 1893 | 1.77–1.28 | 49% · 23% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Sion 1–2 FC Lugano | 1.82–0.67 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Won against the xG: FC Lugano |
| FC ST. Gallen 3–4 FC Thun | 2.88–1.26 | 71% · 15% · 14% | Won against the xG: FC Thun |
| FC Vaduz 5–2 Grasshoppers | 2.31–2.99 | 30% · 17% · 53% | Close call, FC Vaduz won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.