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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 25.5 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ümraniyespor 2–1 Manisa F.K. | 0.46–0.87 | 18% · 38% · 43% | Won against the xG: Ümraniyespor |
| Erzurumspor FK 2–0 Sivasspor | 0.64–0.01 | 47% · 53% · 1% | Close call, Erzurumspor FK won |
| İstanbulspor 0–0 Serik Spor | 0.53–1.76 | 11% · 22% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Serik Spor had 67% |
| Hatayspor 1–3 Keçiörengücü | 1.48–1.77 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Keçiörengücü |
| Iğdır FK 2–1 Sarıyer | 2.47–0.29 | 85% · 12% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Iğdır FK |
| Bandırmaspor 1–1 Sakaryaspor | 2.96–0.77 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Bandırmaspor had 81% |
| Boluspor 2–3 Vanspor FK | 1.92–1.01 | 59% · 22% · 19% | Won against the xG: Vanspor FK |
| Bodrum FK 1–1 Pendikspor | 2.43–0.70 | 76% · 16% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Bodrum FK had 76% |
| Çorum FK 2–0 Amed | 1.01–1.35 | 28% · 27% · 45% | Won against the xG: Çorum FK |
| Esenler Erokspor 2–2 Adana Demirspor | 2.26–0.81 | 70% · 18% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Esenler Erokspor had 70% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.