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6 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 22.9 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor 0–3 Serik Spor | 0.53–2.65 | 5% · 12% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Serik Spor |
| Erzurumspor FK 7–0 Adana Demirspor | 4.31–0.04 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Erzurumspor FK |
| Sivasspor 3–3 Vanspor FK | 2.53–1.16 | 67% · 17% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Sivasspor had 67% |
| Bodrum FK 4–3 Keçiörengücü | 3.50–2.38 | 60% · 15% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Bodrum FK |
| Amed 1–1 Sakaryaspor | 2.29–1.62 | 53% · 20% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Amed had 53% |
| Pendikspor 2–0 Sarıyer | 1.57–0.35 | 68% · 24% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.