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Most points above xPts: Erzurumspor FK (+6.6 pts), Sarıyer (+6.5 pts), Amed (+5.8 pts).
Most points below xPts: Serik Spor (−7.7 pts), Boluspor (−6.5 pts), Pendikspor (−6.0 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erzurumspor FK | 1 | 21 | 36.9 | 14.0 | 41.4 | 48 | +6.6 |
| 2 | Amed | 2 | 20 | 38.9 | 22.4 | 37.2 | 43 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Keçiörengücü | 3 | 20 | 43.8 | 26.1 | 35.3 | 39 | +3.7 |
| 4 | Çorum FK | 4 | 18 | 32.9 | 16.1 | 34.8 | 37 | +2.2 |
| 5 | Esenler Erokspor | 6 | 20 | 32.0 | 19.9 | 33.3 | 34 | +0.7 |
| 6 | Bodrum FK | 8 | 20 | 37.5 | 26.3 | 32.8 | 32 | −0.8 |
| 7 | Pendikspor | 10 | 19 | 30.8 | 21.1 | 31.0 | 25 | −6.0 |
| 8 | Bandırmaspor | 5 | 23 | 27.0 | 26.8 | 30.6 | 35 | +4.4 |
| 9 | Iğdır FK | 14 | 17 | 29.7 | 18.0 | 28.9 | 23 | −5.9 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 7 | 21 | 26.3 | 25.8 | 28.3 | 34 | +5.7 |
| 11 | İstanbulspor | 12 | 18 | 26.3 | 23.6 | 27.1 | 24 | −3.1 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 16 | 19 | 27.4 | 29.8 | 25.5 | 19 | −6.5 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 17 | 20 | 23.9 | 30.1 | 24.7 | 17 | −7.7 |
| 14 | Sarıyer | 9 | 19 | 21.8 | 23.8 | 24.5 | 31 | +6.5 |
| 15 | Ümraniyespor | 13 | 16 | 20.2 | 17.6 | 23.1 | 23 | −0.1 |
| 16 | Vanspor FK | 15 | 19 | 23.5 | 29.4 | 22.8 | 22 | −0.8 |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | 17 | 20.8 | 30.8 | 18.5 | 24 | +5.5 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 18 | 19 | 19.8 | 35.3 | 18.4 | 14 | −4.4 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 19 | 21 | 18.6 | 42.8 | 15.2 | 10 | −5.2 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 20 | 19 | 9.8 | 68.1 | 4.3 | 2 | −2.3 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.