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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 29.8 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor 1–1 Bursaspor | 0.72–1.46 | 18% · 27% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Bursaspor had 55% |
| Sarıyer 1–1 Iğdır FK | 1.23–1.69 | 28% · 24% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
| Keçiörengücü 1–0 Manisa F.K. | 0.56–1.11 | 19% · 32% · 49% | Won against the xG: Keçiörengücü |
| Vanspor FK 3–1 Sivasspor | 3.02–0.38 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Vanspor FK |
| Muğlaspor 0–5 Esenler Erokspor | 0.97–3.12 | 8% · 12% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Esenler Erokspor |
| Pendikspor 0–2 İstanbulspor | 1.39–1.25 | 40% · 26% · 34% | Close call, İstanbulspor won |
| Bandırmaspor 0–4 Fatih Karagümrük | 0.71–2.66 | 8% · 14% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Fatih Karagümrük |
| Boluspor 1–2 Bodrum FK | 1.61–0.90 | 54% · 25% · 21% | Won against the xG: Bodrum FK |
| Ümraniyespor 2–1 Kayserispor | 1.49–2.89 | 18% · 16% · 66% | Won against the xG: Ümraniyespor |
| Mardin 1969 1–1 Batman Petrolspor | 1.15–1.50 | 29% · 26% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.