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Most points above xPts: Bodrum FK (+6.1 pts), Bursaspor (+5.3 pts), Mardin 1969 (+5.0 pts).
Most points below xPts: Manisa F.K. (−6.9 pts), Fatih Karagümrük (−6.5 pts), Bandırmaspor (−6.1 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 2 | 10 | 24.4 | 15.2 | 18.6 | 18 | −0.6 |
| 2 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 10 | 14.7 | 12.7 | 15.4 | 14 | −1.4 |
| 3 | Fatih Karagümrük | 13 | 8 | 15.4 | 10.0 | 14.5 | 8 | −6.5 |
| 4 | Esenler Erokspor | 7 | 7 | 16.3 | 8.8 | 13.9 | 11 | −2.9 |
| 5 | Bursaspor | 1 | 7 | 11.7 | 5.3 | 13.7 | 19 | +5.3 |
| 6 | Bandırmaspor | 16 | 8 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 11.1 | 5 | −6.1 |
| 7 | Manisa F.K. | 18 | 7 | 14.4 | 12.3 | 10.9 | 4 | −6.9 |
| 8 | Iğdır FK | 5 | 6 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| 9 | Batman Petrolspor | 6 | 7 | 14.2 | 15.2 | 9.4 | 12 | +2.6 |
| 10 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 5 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| 11 | Mardin 1969 | 4 | 6 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 8.0 | 13 | +5.0 |
| 12 | Ümraniyespor | 9 | 6 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| 13 | Keçiörengücü | 10 | 6 | 8.0 | 10.4 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| 14 | Pendikspor | 15 | 6 | 7.7 | 11.0 | 6.6 | 5 | −1.6 |
| 15 | Sarıyer | 14 | 6 | 7.0 | 10.2 | 6.2 | 6 | −0.2 |
| 16 | İstanbulspor | 19 | 7 | 7.8 | 14.3 | 6.1 | 4 | −2.1 |
| 17 | Sivasspor | 17 | 7 | 6.9 | 14.1 | 5.7 | 5 | −0.7 |
| 18 | Muğlaspor | 12 | 6 | 8.2 | 13.4 | 5.7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| 19 | Boluspor | 20 | 6 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 5.6 | 3 | −2.6 |
| 20 | Bodrum FK | 8 | 5 | 4.7 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 11 | +6.1 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.