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10 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.5 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor 3–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.83–1.92 | 37% · 21% · 41% | Close call, Hatayspor won |
| Ankaragücü 0–0 Sivasspor | 0.55–0.62 | 26% · 43% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Samsunspor 0–2 Galatasaray | 1.08–1.80 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Rizespor 0–0 Konyaspor | 1.17–1.36 | 32% · 27% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Başakşehir 2–0 İstanbulspor | 2.98–0.42 | 88% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Gaziantep FK 1–1 Kayserispor | 0.84–0.80 | 34% · 35% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Antalyaspor 0–2 Fenerbahçe | 0.72–1.22 | 22% · 30% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Pendikspor 2–1 Adana Demirspor | 1.34–1.32 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
| Kasımpaşa 2–1 Alanyaspor | 1.90–0.63 | 68% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Beşiktaş 2–0 Trabzonspor | 0.50–1.50 | 12% · 26% · 62% | Won against the xG: Beşiktaş |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.