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10 of 10 matches with xG: 39 goals from 31.5 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor 1–1 Antalyaspor | 2.14–0.33 | 80% · 16% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 80% |
| Fatih Karagümrük 3–1 Samsunspor | 1.83–0.98 | 57% · 23% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Fatih Karagümrük |
| Sivasspor 2–1 Kayserispor | 1.02–1.65 | 23% · 25% · 52% | Won against the xG: Sivasspor |
| Fenerbahçe 6–0 İstanbulspor | 5.80–0.27 | 99% · 1% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Konyaspor 1–3 Galatasaray | 0.32–2.31 | 4% · 14% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Pendikspor 0–1 Gaziantep FK | 0.27–0.88 | 11% · 40% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Adana Demirspor 2–6 Başakşehir | 1.33–2.45 | 19% · 18% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Kasımpaşa 2–1 Beşiktaş | 2.05–0.97 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Trabzonspor 4–2 Ankaragücü | 1.75–1.96 | 35% · 21% · 43% | Close call, Trabzonspor won |
| Hatayspor 2–0 Rizespor | 1.92–1.23 | 53% · 22% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Hatayspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.