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Most points above xPts: Galatasaray (+21.4 pts), Trabzonspor (+13.6 pts), Fenerbahçe (+13.1 pts).
Most points below xPts: İstanbulspor (−16.3 pts), Samsunspor (−13.0 pts), Pendikspor (−9.2 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 38 | 89.6 | 24.9 | 85.9 | 99 | +13.1 |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 1 | 38 | 77.5 | 29.3 | 80.6 | 102 | +21.4 |
| 3 | Beşiktaş | 5 | 38 | 49.7 | 39.6 | 59.3 | 56 | −3.3 |
| 4 | Alanyaspor | 8 | 38 | 53.7 | 45.3 | 58.6 | 52 | −6.6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 14 | 38 | 43.0 | 37.6 | 56.0 | 43 | −13.0 |
| 6 | Başakşehir | 4 | 38 | 49.6 | 44.8 | 53.8 | 61 | +7.2 |
| 7 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 38 | 46.7 | 45.3 | 53.4 | 67 | +13.6 |
| 8 | Adana Demirspor | 12 | 38 | 48.2 | 51.8 | 50.3 | 44 | −6.3 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 6 | 38 | 51.8 | 58.5 | 49.8 | 56 | +6.2 |
| 10 | Ankaragücü | 18 | 38 | 38.7 | 44.0 | 49.1 | 40 | −9.1 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 9 | 38 | 47.3 | 55.2 | 48.0 | 50 | +2.0 |
| 12 | Antalyaspor | 10 | 38 | 41.9 | 51.1 | 46.7 | 49 | +2.3 |
| 13 | Hatayspor | 15 | 38 | 43.6 | 50.9 | 46.4 | 41 | −5.4 |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 7 | 38 | 41.8 | 49.6 | 46.4 | 54 | +7.6 |
| 15 | Pendikspor | 19 | 38 | 47.4 | 59.3 | 46.2 | 37 | −9.2 |
| 16 | Gaziantep FK | 13 | 38 | 42.9 | 54.6 | 46.0 | 44 | −2.0 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 16 | 38 | 37.6 | 51.0 | 45.5 | 41 | −4.5 |
| 18 | Kayserispor | 11 | 38 | 43.9 | 55.5 | 44.7 | 45 | +0.3 |
| 19 | Fatih Karagümrük | 17 | 38 | 40.8 | 55.2 | 44.5 | 40 | −4.5 |
| 20 | İstanbulspor | 20 | 38 | 37.7 | 70.0 | 35.3 | 19 | −16.3 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.