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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 24.6 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor 2–1 Sivasspor | 1.64–1.36 | 44% · 24% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Samsunspor 4–0 Bodrum FK | 2.99–0.40 | 88% · 9% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Adana Demirspor 0–1 Konyaspor | 0.65–0.63 | 30% · 40% · 29% | Close call, Konyaspor won |
| Başakşehir 4–1 Göztepe | 1.37–0.26 | 66% · 27% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Alanyaspor 2–1 Trabzonspor | 1.41–1.45 | 37% · 25% · 38% | Close call, Alanyaspor won |
| Rizespor 3–0 Kayserispor | 1.97–0.36 | 76% · 18% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Galatasaray 2–2 Eyüpspor | 4.35–1.38 | 85% · 8% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Galatasaray had 85% |
| Hatayspor 1–1 Beşiktaş | 0.70–1.03 | 24% · 33% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fenerbahçe 3–1 Gaziantep FK | 1.47–1.15 | 45% · 26% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.