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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 22.7 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bodrum FK 2–0 Sivasspor | 1.52–0.40 | 66% · 25% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Bodrum FK |
| Kasımpaşa 2–0 Eyüpspor | 1.24–0.84 | 46% · 29% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Rizespor 1–1 Konyaspor | 2.64–0.70 | 79% · 14% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Rizespor had 79% |
| Alanyaspor 3–0 Gaziantep FK | 1.89–0.37 | 74% · 19% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Hatayspor 1–1 Göztepe | 0.96–1.52 | 24% · 26% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Göztepe had 50% |
| Antalyaspor 2–0 Kayserispor | 1.06–0.81 | 41% · 32% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Fenerbahçe 3–1 Başakşehir | 1.21–0.64 | 50% · 30% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Adana Demirspor 2–1 Beşiktaş | 1.20–1.81 | 25% · 23% · 52% | Won against the xG: Adana Demirspor |
| Galatasaray 4–3 Trabzonspor | 2.55–1.37 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.