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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 21.9 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor 0–1 Samsunspor | 0.77–0.64 | 35% · 38% · 27% | Close call, Samsunspor won |
| Hatayspor 1–2 Rizespor | 0.55–2.11 | 8% · 18% · 74% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Beşiktaş 2–1 Bodrum FK | 1.63–1.43 | 42% · 24% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Sivasspor 1–1 Alanyaspor | 0.50–0.29 | 31% · 52% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Trabzonspor 5–0 Antalyaspor | 1.87–0.74 | 64% · 22% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Başakşehir 1–2 Galatasaray | 0.98–0.81 | 38% · 33% · 29% | Close call, Galatasaray won |
| Gaziantep FK 1–0 Adana Demirspor | 1.56–0.74 | 57% · 25% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Konyaspor 2–3 Fenerbahçe | 1.05–2.33 | 16% · 18% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Göztepe 5–0 Kasımpaşa | 3.31–0.64 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.