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9 of 9 matches with xG: 42 goals from 30.3 xG (1.38 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor 2–1 Gaziantep FK | 1.55–0.86 | 54% · 26% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Sivasspor 5–2 Kayserispor | 2.84–2.78 | 42% · 17% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| Alanyaspor 5–4 Başakşehir | 2.65–2.51 | 43% · 18% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Galatasaray 1–0 Konyaspor | 2.29–0.34 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Rizespor 3–2 Adana Demirspor | 3.68–0.88 | 87% · 8% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Antalyaspor 1–1 Beşiktaş | 0.60–1.13 | 20% · 32% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bodrum FK 0–1 Eyüpspor | 0.87–0.40 | 45% · 39% · 16% | Won against the xG: Eyüpspor |
| Fenerbahçe 3–2 Göztepe | 0.96–1.57 | 23% · 25% · 52% | Won against the xG: Fenerbahçe |
| Kasımpaşa 5–4 Hatayspor | 2.84–1.59 | 64% · 17% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.