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9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 19.9 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor 2–0 Hatayspor | 1.57–0.63 | 60% · 25% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Kayserispor 3–2 Konyaspor | 1.43–1.32 | 40% · 26% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
| Sivasspor 0–2 Beşiktaş | 0.68–1.61 | 16% · 25% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Kasımpaşa 3–2 Rizespor | 1.62–1.14 | 49% · 25% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Alanyaspor 0–2 Fenerbahçe | 1.43–1.50 | 36% · 25% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Antalyaspor 0–0 Başakşehir | 1.17–0.36 | 57% · 32% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Antalyaspor had 57% |
| Galatasaray 1–0 Adana Demirspor | 1.20–0.00 | 70% · 30% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Trabzonspor 1–0 Eyüpspor | 1.22–2.50 | 17% · 18% · 65% | Won against the xG: Trabzonspor |
| Bodrum FK 0–0 Göztepe | 0.19–0.37 | 12% · 61% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.