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9 of 9 matches with xG: 21 goals from 29.1 xG (0.72 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray 4–0 Antalyaspor | 4.06–0.40 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Gaziantep FK 1–0 Kayserispor | 1.61–2.15 | 29% · 21% · 50% | Won against the xG: Gaziantep FK |
| Kasımpaşa 2–1 Alanyaspor | 2.50–2.26 | 45% · 19% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Başakşehir 0–3 Trabzonspor | 1.37–1.34 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Close call, Trabzonspor won |
| Konyaspor 1–0 Beşiktaş | 0.69–2.63 | 7% · 14% · 79% | Won against the xG: Konyaspor |
| Rizespor 0–2 Bodrum FK | 0.71–0.69 | 31% · 38% · 30% | Close call, Bodrum FK won |
| Göztepe 1–1 Eyüpspor | 1.72–0.98 | 55% · 24% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Göztepe had 55% |
| Hatayspor 3–2 Sivasspor | 1.83–2.22 | 32% · 20% · 47% | Close call, Hatayspor won |
| Fenerbahçe 0–0 Samsunspor | 1.92–0.07 | 83% · 16% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Fenerbahçe had 83% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.