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9 of 9 matches with xG: 38 goals from 30.6 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş 5–1 Hatayspor | 3.29–1.03 | 80% · 11% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Sivasspor 2–0 Antalyaspor | 0.89–0.57 | 41% · 37% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| Bodrum FK 1–2 Samsunspor | 1.73–1.02 | 54% · 24% · 22% | Won against the xG: Samsunspor |
| Gaziantep FK 1–3 Fenerbahçe | 0.49–2.62 | 5% · 12% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Konyaspor 3–1 Adana Demirspor | 3.57–0.15 | 96% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Trabzonspor 4–3 Alanyaspor | 2.39–2.11 | 45% · 19% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Kayserispor 1–0 Rizespor | 1.29–0.62 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
| Eyüpspor 1–5 Galatasaray | 0.42–3.39 | 2% · 7% · 91% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Göztepe 4–1 Başakşehir | 3.81–1.22 | 83% · 10% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.