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9 of 9 matches with xG: 28 goals from 22.4 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK 0–3 Galatasaray | 0.14–2.55 | 1% · 9% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Samsunspor 2–1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.16–0.34 | 57% · 32% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Antalyaspor 2–1 Kasımpaşa | 1.74–0.68 | 63% · 23% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Rizespor 0–3 Göztepe | 1.67–1.04 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Won against the xG: Göztepe |
| Eyüpspor 1–4 Konyaspor | 2.09–2.07 | 40% · 20% · 39% | Close call, Konyaspor won |
| Trabzonspor 1–0 Kocaelispor | 1.05–1.00 | 36% · 30% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Fenerbahçe 2–2 Alanyaspor | 3.14–0.44 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Fenerbahçe had 89% |
| Fatih Karagümrük 0–2 Başakşehir | 0.39–0.11 | 30% · 63% · 7% | Won against the xG: Başakşehir |
| Kayserispor 0–4 Beşiktaş | 0.40–2.35 | 5% · 14% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.