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9 of 9 matches with xG: 35 goals from 25.1 xG (1.40 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor 3–1 Samsunspor | 0.99–1.99 | 18% · 21% · 61% | Won against the xG: Antalyaspor |
| Galatasaray 5–1 Eyüpspor | 2.47–0.93 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2–2 Rizespor | 1.18–1.67 | 27% · 24% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alanyaspor 2–1 Konyaspor | 1.85–0.53 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Trabzonspor 2–3 Fenerbahçe | 0.84–0.76 | 35% · 35% · 30% | Close call, Fenerbahçe won |
| Kocaelispor 3–0 Gaziantep FK | 2.20–0.65 | 73% · 18% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Kocaelispor |
| Göztepe 0–0 Kayserispor | 1.05–0.98 | 37% · 31% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Başakşehir 2–3 Beşiktaş | 1.47–2.53 | 21% · 18% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Kasımpaşa 3–2 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.75–1.21 | 50% · 24% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.