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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 21.4 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor 3–2 Konyaspor | 1.40–1.40 | 37% · 25% · 37% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Gaziantep FK 0–2 Beşiktaş | 1.68–1.46 | 43% · 24% · 34% | Close call, Beşiktaş won |
| Fenerbahçe 3–1 Başakşehir | 2.05–0.89 | 64% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Samsunspor 4–1 Galatasaray | 1.37–0.89 | 48% · 28% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Trabzonspor 1–1 Göztepe | 0.79–1.54 | 19% · 26% · 55% | Draw against the xG: Göztepe had 55% |
| Antalyaspor 0–0 Alanyaspor | 0.15–0.94 | 6% · 39% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 56% |
| Fatih Karagümrük 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 0.81–2.14 | 13% · 19% · 68% | Won against the xG: Fatih Karagümrük |
| Kasımpaşa 1–1 Kocaelispor | 0.85–0.64 | 38% · 37% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kayserispor 1–1 Eyüpspor | 1.46–0.90 | 50% · 27% · 23% | Draw against the xG: Kayserispor had 50% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.