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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 30.6 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir 2–3 Galatasaray | 1.99–2.12 | 37% · 20% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Konyaspor | 1.24–1.56 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Close call, Erzurumspor FK won |
| Fenerbahçe 1–2 Beşiktaş | 0.59–1.75 | 12% · 22% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Çorum FK 3–0 Eyüpspor | 2.58–0.73 | 77% · 15% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Çorum FK |
| Kasımpaşa 2–2 Amed | 1.04–1.11 | 33% · 30% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor | 1.59–1.74 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Close call, Kocaelispor won |
| Trabzonspor 5–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3.21–0.86 | 83% · 11% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Göztepe 2–4 Gaziantep FK | 3.26–1.88 | 65% · 15% · 20% | Won against the xG: Gaziantep FK |
| Rizespor 0–1 Alanyaspor | 1.28–2.07 | 23% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.