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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 21.8 xG (1.24 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor | 0.47–1.54 | 11% · 25% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Kocaelispor |
| Eyüpspor 0–1 Kasımpaşa | 0.43–0.59 | 22% · 46% · 32% | Close call, Kasımpaşa won |
| Gaziantep FK 1–3 Erzurumspor FK | 1.05–0.62 | 45% · 33% · 21% | Won against the xG: Erzurumspor FK |
| Samsunspor 1–2 Amed | 0.91–1.54 | 22% · 26% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Amed |
| Konyaspor 2–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.84–1.16 | 53% · 23% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Göztepe 2–0 Çorum FK | 1.91–0.67 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
| Beşiktaş 2–0 Başakşehir | 1.73–0.31 | 73% · 21% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Rizespor 3–4 Trabzonspor | 1.81–2.63 | 26% · 18% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Galatasaray 2–1 Fenerbahçe | 2.27–0.31 | 82% · 14% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.