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Most points above xPts: Trabzonspor (+7.3 pts), Galatasaray (+5.3 pts), Kocaelispor (+4.4 pts).
Most points below xPts: Konyaspor (−5.4 pts), Eyüpspor (−5.0 pts), Rizespor (−3.8 pts).
| # | Team | Real | MP | xG | xGA | xPts | Pts | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 1 | 11 | 25.0 | 11.9 | 22.7 | 28 | +5.3 |
| 2 | Beşiktaş | 4 | 11 | 21.7 | 9.7 | 22.1 | 22 | −0.1 |
| 3 | Amed | 3 | 11 | 23.3 | 10.1 | 21.7 | 23 | +1.3 |
| 4 | Fenerbahçe | 6 | 11 | 22.0 | 14.7 | 18.1 | 19 | +0.9 |
| 5 | Rizespor | 11 | 11 | 17.4 | 13.8 | 17.8 | 14 | −3.8 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 11 | 21.2 | 16.8 | 17.7 | 25 | +7.3 |
| 7 | Göztepe | 10 | 11 | 20.4 | 18.2 | 16.5 | 15 | −1.5 |
| 8 | Başakşehir | 8 | 11 | 18.6 | 17.2 | 16.5 | 17 | +0.5 |
| 9 | Çorum FK | 9 | 11 | 15.0 | 15.1 | 15.7 | 16 | +0.3 |
| 10 | Kasımpaşa | 5 | 11 | 13.5 | 12.4 | 15.7 | 20 | +4.3 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 11 | 12.6 | 13.8 | 14.6 | 19 | +4.4 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 15 | 11 | 12.0 | 14.4 | 13.4 | 8 | −5.4 |
| 13 | Gaziantep FK | 16 | 11 | 11.6 | 17.2 | 11.8 | 8 | −3.8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 12 | 11 | 9.2 | 16.5 | 11.3 | 14 | +2.7 |
| 15 | Alanyaspor | 13 | 11 | 12.4 | 19.3 | 11.1 | 12 | +0.9 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 17 | 11 | 12.3 | 20.2 | 10.5 | 7 | −3.5 |
| 17 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 14 | 11 | 11.5 | 23.5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 18 | 11 | 8.8 | 23.8 | 8.0 | 3 | −5.0 |
Each match replayed from its full-time xG (Poisson): the points a side would earn on average (xPts). "Real" is the place in the real table.