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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 21.3 xG (1.18 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–2 Obolon'-Brovar | 2.55–1.29 | 65% · 18% · 18% | Won against the xG: Obolon'-Brovar |
| Kudrivka 1–3 Kolos Kovalivka | 0.44–2.69 | 4% · 11% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Kolos Kovalivka |
| FC Kharkiv 1–3 Zorya Luhansk | 1.67–1.37 | 45% · 24% · 32% | Close call, Zorya Luhansk won |
| Veres Rivne 1–0 Ruh Lviv | 0.76–0.96 | 28% · 34% · 39% | Close call, Veres Rivne won |
| Karpaty 1–0 Kryvbas KR | 0.93–0.26 | 52% · 38% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Karpaty |
| Oleksandria 0–3 Polessya | 0.54–1.83 | 10% · 21% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Polessya |
| Dynamo Kyiv 0–1 LNZ Cherkasy | 0.86–0.55 | 41% · 37% · 22% | Won against the xG: LNZ Cherkasy |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 7–1 SK Poltava | 4.23–0.33 | 96% · 3% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.