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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 16.1 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SK Poltava 0–4 Karpaty | 0.99–1.26 | 29% · 28% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Karpaty |
| Dynamo Kyiv 2–1 Obolon'-Brovar | 1.76–0.22 | 76% · 20% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| LNZ Cherkasy 2–0 Oleksandria | 2.17–0.82 | 68% · 19% · 13% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
| Kudrivka 0–0 Veres Rivne | 0.01–0.56 | 1% · 57% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Polessya 2–0 Kryvbas KR | 1.47–0.79 | 53% · 27% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Polessya |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2–0 Ruh Lviv | 1.51–0.61 | 59% · 26% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
| Kolos Kovalivka 1–1 Zorya Luhansk | 1.90–0.73 | 65% · 21% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Kolos Kovalivka had 65% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 FC Kharkiv | 1.07–0.28 | 56% · 34% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.