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7 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 18.5 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka 0–0 FC Kharkiv | 1.28–0.47 | 57% · 30% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Kolos Kovalivka had 57% |
| Dynamo Kyiv 0–1 Karpaty | 1.49–0.84 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Won against the xG: Karpaty |
| Kryvbas KR 0–3 LNZ Cherkasy | 0.93–1.22 | 28% · 29% · 43% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
| Obolon'-Brovar 3–3 Zorya Luhansk | 2.22–1.89 | 46% · 20% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 Ruh Lviv | 3.92–0.00 | 98% · 2% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
| Polessya 1–1 Veres Rivne | 1.96–0.28 | 78% · 17% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Polessya had 78% |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–0 Kudrivka | 0.55–1.45 | 14% · 27% · 59% | Won against the xG: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.