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8 of 8 matches with xG: 30 goals from 24.7 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka 2–0 SK Poltava | 0.97–0.17 | 56% · 37% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Kolos Kovalivka |
| Ruh Lviv 0–3 Karpaty | 0.93–3.85 | 5% · 8% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Karpaty |
| Kryvbas KR 5–6 Dynamo Kyiv | 1.05–4.18 | 5% · 7% · 88% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| LNZ Cherkasy 1–1 FC Kharkiv | 1.25–0.59 | 53% · 30% · 18% | Draw against the xG: LNZ Cherkasy had 53% |
| Kudrivka 1–3 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.49–2.13 | 7% · 17% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
| Polessya 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar | 2.55–1.07 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Polessya |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–1 Oleksandria | 1.23–2.08 | 22% · 21% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Oleksandria had 57% |
| Zorya Luhansk 2–0 Veres Rivne | 1.59–0.54 | 63% · 24% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Zorya Luhansk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.