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7 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.3 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria 1–2 Zorya Luhansk | 0.94–2.41 | 13% · 17% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Zorya Luhansk |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 3–2 Polessya | 2.42–5.03 | 12% · 10% · 78% | Won against the xG: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
| FC Kharkiv 2–2 Karpaty | 1.23–1.65 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Veres Rivne 1–3 Kryvbas KR | 2.59–1.48 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Won against the xG: Kryvbas KR |
| LNZ Cherkasy 2–0 SK Poltava | 1.99–0.47 | 74% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar | 0.59–0.78 | 25% · 39% · 36% | Close call, Shakhtar Donetsk won |
| Kudrivka 2–1 Ruh Lviv | 2.23–0.47 | 78% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Kudrivka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.