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6 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 17.0 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets 1–2 FC Kharkiv | 0.32–2.28 | 4% · 14% · 82% | Win in line with xG for FC Kharkiv |
| Kolos Kovalivka 3–1 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 1.33–1.45 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Close call, Kolos Kovalivka won |
| Dynamo Kyiv 1–0 Karpaty | 0.97–0.89 | 36% · 32% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| LNZ Cherkasy 2–1 Kudrivka | 1.50–2.27 | 25% · 20% · 55% | Won against the xG: LNZ Cherkasy |
| Bukovyna 2–2 Polessya | 0.72–2.53 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Draw against the xG: Polessya had 77% |
| Livyi Bereh 1–3 Zorya Luhansk | 0.74–2.02 | 13% · 20% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Zorya Luhansk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.