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7 of 7 matches with xG: 19 goals from 18.5 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Dhafra 1–3 Al-Ittihad Kalba | 0.97–1.59 | 23% · 25% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Al-Ittihad Kalba |
| Sharjah FC 2–0 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1.57–0.50 | 64% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Sharjah FC |
| Hatta SC 1–2 Khorfakkan | 1.39–1.34 | 38% · 26% · 36% | Close call, Khorfakkan won |
| Al-Jazira 2–1 Al-Wasl FC | 1.45–1.34 | 40% · 25% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Al-Jazira |
| Al Nasr 4–1 Dubai United | 1.76–0.98 | 56% · 23% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Al Nasr |
| Ajman 1–1 Baniyas SC | 2.31–1.35 | 59% · 20% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Ajman had 59% |
| Al Wahda FC 0–0 Al Ain | 1.03–0.95 | 37% · 31% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.