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1 of 8 matches with xG: 2 goals from 3.2 xG (0.62 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting 0–2 Penarol | 1.31–1.89 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Penarol |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.