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3 of 3 matches with xG: 8 goals from 7.9 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC 2–0 New York City FC | 1.32–0.40 | 60% · 29% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| Orlando City SC 1–0 New York Red Bulls | 1.07–1.19 | 33% · 29% · 39% | Close call, Orlando City SC won |
| Philadelphia Union 4–1 Columbus Crew | 3.41–0.55 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.