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10 of 10 matches with xG: 26 goals from 28.3 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC | 1.47–1.68 | 34% · 24% · 43% | Close call, New England Revolution won |
| Chicago Fire 3–0 CF Montreal | 1.43–1.74 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Close call, Chicago Fire won |
| Houston Dynamo 0–3 Minnesota United FC | 1.54–1.70 | 35% · 23% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Sporting Kansas City 2–2 Real Salt Lake | 1.85–1.61 | 44% · 22% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nashville SC 0–2 Philadelphia Union | 2.36–1.79 | 51% · 20% · 29% | Won against the xG: Philadelphia Union |
| Colorado Rapids 0–0 Portland Timbers | 0.92–0.63 | 41% · 35% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| San Jose Earthquakes 2–0 Seattle Sounders | 1.47–0.58 | 59% · 26% · 15% | Win in line with xG for San Jose Earthquakes |
| Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Austin | 2.55–0.68 | 78% · 14% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| LAFC 3–0 St. Louis City SC | 1.57–0.33 | 69% · 24% · 7% | Win in line with xG for LAFC |
| Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC | 1.10–1.26 | 32% · 28% · 40% | Close call, Philadelphia Union won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.