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10 of 10 matches with xG: 19 goals from 23.2 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Orlando City SC | 0.62–1.99 | 11% · 20% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| Seattle Sounders 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.99–0.99 | 34% · 31% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Atlanta United FC 0–1 LAFC | 1.37–0.97 | 46% · 27% · 27% | Won against the xG: LAFC |
| Charlotte 0–0 Philadelphia Union | 0.89–0.92 | 33% · 33% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| DC United 1–1 Chicago Fire | 1.15–0.79 | 44% · 31% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| CF Montreal 0–0 Nashville SC | 1.25–0.68 | 50% · 30% · 20% | Draw against the xG: CF Montreal had 50% |
| New England Revolution 0–1 New York City FC | 0.78–1.34 | 22% · 28% · 50% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Orlando City SC 0–2 Columbus Crew | 1.31–1.59 | 32% · 25% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati | 1.50–1.36 | 41% · 25% · 34% | Close call, FC Cincinnati won |
| St. Louis City SC 1–2 Seattle Sounders | 1.50–1.25 | 43% · 25% · 32% | Close call, Seattle Sounders won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.