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15 of 15 matches with xG: 45 goals from 45.2 xG (1.00 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami 3–3 Charlotte | 2.14–1.80 | 46% · 21% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC | 1.20–1.58 | 29% · 25% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
| Philadelphia Union 4–1 Toronto FC | 3.82–0.63 | 91% · 6% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
| New York Red Bulls 3–0 Atlanta United FC | 2.78–0.63 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| CF Montreal 0–2 Vancouver Whitecaps | 0.96–1.86 | 19% · 22% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Vancouver Whitecaps |
| Chicago Fire 3–4 Columbus Crew | 2.97–1.54 | 67% · 16% · 18% | Won against the xG: Columbus Crew |
| Orlando City SC 1–0 New England Revolution | 1.20–0.91 | 43% · 29% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| DC United 0–1 New York City FC | 0.87–1.12 | 28% · 31% · 41% | Win in line with xG for New York City FC |
| Seattle Sounders 2–1 LAFC | 0.57–1.90 | 10% · 20% · 69% | Won against the xG: Seattle Sounders |
| Real Salt Lake 2–1 LA Galaxy | 2.98–0.73 | 82% · 11% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Real Salt Lake |
| FC Dallas 3–1 Colorado Rapids | 3.72–0.73 | 89% · 7% · 4% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Austin 0–2 Portland Timbers | 0.68–0.42 | 37% · 43% · 20% | Won against the xG: Portland Timbers |
| San Diego 0–1 Sporting Kansas City | 0.85–1.98 | 15% · 21% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Sporting Kansas City |
| Minnesota United FC 3–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 1.15–1.23 | 34% · 28% · 38% | Close call, Minnesota United FC won |
| Houston Dynamo 0–1 St. Louis City SC | 1.35–0.89 | 47% · 28% · 25% | Won against the xG: St. Louis City SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.