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6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 16.3 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne City 1–0 Brisbane Roar | 1.25–0.31 | 61% · 30% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Melbourne City |
| Macarthur 1–3 Central Coast Mariners | 0.72–1.38 | 20% · 28% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Central Coast Mariners |
| Adelaide United 1–1 Wellington Phoenix | 1.86–0.93 | 59% · 22% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Adelaide United had 59% |
| Newcastle Jets 2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers | 2.59–1.87 | 54% · 19% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Newcastle Jets |
| Sydney 2–2 Melbourne Victory | 1.87–1.57 | 45% · 22% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Auckland 2–2 Perth Glory | 1.50–0.42 | 64% · 25% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Auckland had 64% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.