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5 of 6 matches with xG: 16 goals from 15.3 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.92–1.81 | 41% · 21% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Wellington Phoenix 2–0 Perth Glory | 1.82–0.39 | 73% · 20% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Wellington Phoenix |
| Central Coast Mariners 1–1 Adelaide United | 0.64–3.36 | 4% · 8% · 88% | Draw against the xG: Adelaide United had 88% |
| Newcastle Jets 1–2 Auckland | 0.29–2.83 | 2% · 9% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Auckland |
| Melbourne Victory 4–1 Macarthur | 1.97–0.29 | 78% · 17% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Melbourne Victory |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.