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5 of 6 matches with xG: 13 goals from 12.2 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macarthur 3–2 Newcastle Jets | 1.38–1.14 | 42% · 27% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Macarthur |
| Brisbane Roar 0–0 Sydney | 1.67–0.02 | 81% · 19% · 0% | Draw against the xG: Brisbane Roar had 81% |
| Central Coast Mariners 2–2 Perth Glory | 1.53–1.85 | 32% · 22% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Melbourne City 3–0 Western Sydney Wanderers | 1.24–1.57 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Close call, Melbourne City won |
| Melbourne Victory 0–1 Wellington Phoenix | 0.25–1.52 | 6% · 24% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Wellington Phoenix |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.