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6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 16.2 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Mariners 2–2 Brisbane Roar | 0.36–1.50 | 9% · 25% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Brisbane Roar had 66% |
| Auckland 2–2 Melbourne Victory | 1.41–1.21 | 42% · 26% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Newcastle Jets 1–1 Adelaide United | 1.71–1.31 | 47% · 24% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Western Sydney Wanderers 0–2 Sydney | 1.01–1.75 | 22% · 24% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Sydney |
| Melbourne City 2–0 Wellington Phoenix | 2.36–0.58 | 77% · 15% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Melbourne City |
| Perth Glory 3–1 Macarthur | 1.63–1.37 | 44% · 24% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Perth Glory |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.