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6 of 6 matches with xG: 15 goals from 14.4 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Vienna 2–0 Wolfsberger AC | 0.51–0.73 | 23% · 41% · 37% | Close call, Rapid Vienna won |
| TSV Hartberg 1–0 Grazer AK | 1.21–0.49 | 54% · 31% · 15% | Win in line with xG for TSV Hartberg |
| SCR Altach 2–1 Austria Vienna | 0.79–1.14 | 25% · 31% · 44% | Won against the xG: SCR Altach |
| WSG Wattens 1–1 Ried | 1.26–1.59 | 30% · 25% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sturm Graz 1–0 FC BW Linz | 1.67–1.09 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Sturm Graz |
| Lask Linz 1–5 Red Bull Salzburg | 2.39–1.58 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Won against the xG: Red Bull Salzburg |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.