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6 of 6 matches with xG: 18 goals from 16.2 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK 2–1 Ried | 1.46–0.51 | 61% · 26% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Grazer AK |
| Wolfsberger AC 2–2 Sturm Graz | 0.83–2.70 | 9% · 14% · 77% | Draw against the xG: Sturm Graz had 77% |
| SCR Altach 1–1 Rapid Vienna | 0.75–0.87 | 29% · 35% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Austria Vienna 2–2 Lask Linz | 3.00–2.55 | 49% · 17% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Red Bull Salzburg 0–0 TSV Hartberg | 1.98–0.27 | 79% · 17% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Red Bull Salzburg had 79% |
| FC BW Linz 2–3 WSG Wattens | 0.53–0.79 | 22% · 39% · 38% | Close call, WSG Wattens won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.