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7 of 8 matches with xG: 13 goals from 18.9 xG (0.69 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United 2–2 SK Beveren | 0.75–0.84 | 30% · 35% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
| Liège 0–2 KAA Gent II | 2.28–1.14 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Won against the xG: KAA Gent II |
| Kortrijk 2–0 Patro Eisden | 0.74–1.53 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Won against the xG: Kortrijk |
| Club Brugge II 0–1 K. Lierse S.K. | 1.34–1.56 | 33% · 25% · 43% | Win in line with xG for K. Lierse S.K. |
| Seraing United 1–1 Lokeren-Temse | 0.53–1.60 | 12% · 24% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Lokeren-Temse had 64% |
| RWDM 0–1 Beerschot VA | 1.72–1.94 | 35% · 22% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Beerschot VA |
| Francs Borains 0–1 Olympic Charleroi | 0.83–2.06 | 14% · 20% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Olympic Charleroi |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.