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6 of 8 matches with xG: 19 goals from 18.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokeren-Temse 3–2 Club Brugge II | 2.46–0.23 | 87% · 11% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Lokeren-Temse |
| Kortrijk 4–2 Lommel United | 2.17–1.90 | 45% · 20% · 35% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
| RSC Anderlecht II 2–2 Seraing United | 2.68–2.17 | 50% · 18% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| KAA Gent II 0–0 KRC Genk II | 1.31–0.93 | 45% · 28% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Olympic Charleroi 1–2 Beerschot VA | 0.91–0.85 | 35% · 33% · 32% | Close call, Beerschot VA won |
| Patro Eisden 1–0 RWDM | 1.88–0.89 | 61% · 22% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Patro Eisden |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.