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6 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 15.9 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seraing United 0–1 AS Eupen | 0.82–0.68 | 36% · 37% · 28% | Close call, AS Eupen won |
| K. Lierse S.K. 2–1 KRC Genk II | 1.42–2.01 | 27% · 22% · 51% | Won against the xG: K. Lierse S.K. |
| RSC Anderlecht II 2–2 RWDM | 1.92–1.41 | 50% · 22% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| SK Beveren 1–0 Francs Borains | 1.02–0.30 | 54% · 36% · 11% | Win in line with xG for SK Beveren |
| Club Brugge II 3–1 Beerschot VA | 1.77–0.95 | 57% · 23% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Club Brugge II |
| KAA Gent II 1–3 Lokeren-Temse | 2.33–1.29 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Won against the xG: Lokeren-Temse |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.