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8 of 8 matches with xG: 22 goals from 23.9 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United 2–0 KAA Gent II | 0.84–1.57 | 20% · 25% · 55% | Won against the xG: Lommel United |
| SK Beveren 2–1 RSC Anderlecht II | 2.53–1.18 | 67% · 17% · 16% | Win in line with xG for SK Beveren |
| Kortrijk 1–0 Seraing United | 2.86–0.24 | 90% · 8% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Kortrijk |
| Beerschot VA 0–2 Patro Eisden | 0.48–2.53 | 5% · 13% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Patro Eisden |
| RWDM 3–3 Olympic Charleroi | 2.06–1.89 | 43% · 21% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Francs Borains 0–1 K. Lierse S.K. | 1.25–1.30 | 35% · 27% · 38% | Win in line with xG for K. Lierse S.K. |
| AS Eupen 2–1 Club Brugge II | 0.76–1.59 | 18% · 25% · 57% | Won against the xG: AS Eupen |
| Lokeren-Temse 2–2 KRC Genk II | 1.90–0.93 | 60% · 22% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Lokeren-Temse had 60% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.